It's Way Too Soon But Let's Do It Anyway: Trade Winners And Losers

There have been a dozen trades involving seven owners so far this season. Below, a far-too-early assessment for each of the first ten deals.

The stats shown include only Active Stats, and the number in parentheses represents Erik Karabell's rest-of-season ranking for reference.

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Fri, Mar 16: Rim traded Nelson Cruz, Sea DH to Kyle for Lucas Giolito, CWS SP and $50 FAAB

  • Kyle - Cruz: 15 GP, 5 R, 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB,  16 H/60 AB, .267 AVG (#30)
  • Tim - Giolito: 2 starts, 11.2 IP, 5 K, 0 W, 6.17 ERA, 1.29 WHIP (#259)
  • Tim - Blew through most of his FAAB on ineffective players

Winner (so far): Kyle, sort of. Cruz is off to a slow (and injured) start, but I still think $50 FAAB is a fair price tag for one of the most consistent power hitters in baseball. (I was really hoping Lucas Giolito would finally be worth owning, but even after getting through the wintry early-season games, he still stinks.) Cruz will still get 30 home runs and 90 RBI, barring injury. While I haven't uncovered any gems with the extra cash, it has probably helped protect me from myself. Without the extra cushion, I'd be down to $50 FAAB after April.

  Donaldson's ability to do this could affect his value as a fantasy player the rest of this season.

Donaldson's ability to do this could affect his value as a fantasy player the rest of this season.

Fri, Mar 16: Rim traded Josh Donaldson, Tor 3B to Mil for Mike Moustakas, KC 3B, Andrew McCutchen, SF OF, and $5 FAAB

  • Tim - Moustakas: 23 GP, 14 R, 7 HR, 18 RBI, 0 SB, 30/95, .316 AVG (#89)
  • Tim - McCutchen: 24 GP, 12 R, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 3 SB, 18/88, .205 AVG (#65)
  • Mil - Donaldson: 12 GP, 10 R, 3 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB, 11/46, .239 (#22)

Winner (so far): Rim. Donaldson is playing for a new contract — and could be a big real-life trade chip at the deadline — but if his arm is truly deceased then we may be witnessing his last days as a fantasy star. You never want someone to get injured (especially a likable masher such as Donaldson) but I want him to be consistently injured throughout the season.

Moustakas, on the other hand, has come out on fire after a career year. Best case scenario for me personally is if Moose keeps up this pace and the Royals trade him to the Yankees for prospects sooner rather than later. Guy'll lead that team in homers, you heard it here first!

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Sun, Mar 18: Mil traded Starling Marte, Pit OF to Ols for Edwin Encarnacion, Cle 1B

  • Mil - Encarnacion: 23 GP, 8 R, 5 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB, 15/85, .176 AVG (#39)
  • Ols - Marte: 25 GP, 18 R, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 8 SB, 27/96, .281 (#48)

Winner: Ols. Marte has been what you would expect, while Easy E Encarnacion has not. It is a good sign that 5 of Edwin's 15 hits have been home runs, because at the moment he's not having much luck with other batted balls. Even if Edwin picks it up, I'd still prefer to have the younger Dominican on my squad. 

Fri, Mar 23: AB traded Chad Green, NYY RP to Ols for Danny Duffy, KC SP

  • AB - Duffy: 1 GS, 4.0 IP, 5 K, 0 W, 0 SV, 11.25 ERA, 2.25 WHIP (#175)
  • Ols - C. Green: 12 IP, 18 K, 2 W, 0 SV, 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP (NR)

Winner (so far): Ols. AB hasn't bothered to start Duffy since his disastrous first game. This outcome could flip when Duffy hits the gas and is traded to an NL team. 

  The most expensive player to be dropped this season, Domingo Santana is sure to hit 30 home runs for Maloof. 

The most expensive player to be dropped this season, Domingo Santana is sure to hit 30 home runs for Maloof. 

Sun, Mar 25: Rim traded Evan Gattis, Hou C to Ols for Domingo Santana, Mil OF

  • Ols - Gattis: 19 GP, 6 R, 0 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB, 13/61, .213 AVG (#260) (Dropped)
  • Rim - Santana: 18 GP, 4 R, 0 Hr, 3 RBI, 0 SB, 16/68, .235 AVG (#176) (Dropped)

Winner (so far): There are no winners here.

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Wed, Mar 28: Stat traded James Paxton, Sea SP to Ols for Khris Davis, Oak OF

  • Nolan - K. Davis: 25 GP, 12 R, 7 HR, 23 RBI, 0 SB, 26/101, .257 (#61)
  • Ols - Paxton: 31.2 IP, 44 K, 1 W, 5.12 ERA, 1.42 WHIP (#139)

Winner (so far):  Nolan. Paxy (I call him Paxy) is delivering strikeouts, but at the moment there are too many hits and walks going on for Ols to be happy with this deal. Right now he's looking like Nolan the year after that one magical whiffleball season. Khris Davis continues to mash. 

Thu, Apr 12: Tim traded Charlie Morton, Hou SP to Mil for Chris Taylor, LAD 2B and $7 FAAB 

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  • Rim - C. Taylor: 9 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 0, 13/53, .245 AVG (#161)
  • Mil - Morton: 17 IP, 22 K, 1 W, 3.18 ERA, 1.18 WHIP (#127)

Winner (so far): Mil. Morton is rising and Taylor is falling, and considering I have three hitters on my bench every day, it would be nice if we could un-do this one. 

Wed, Apr 18: Ols traded Aaron Hicks, NYY OF to Bayz for Rougned Odor, Tex 2B

  • Ols - Odor: 0 GP, 0 R, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB, 0/0, .000 AVG (#101) (Disabled List)
  • Bayz - Hicks: 7 GP, 6 R, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB, 5/21, .238 AVG (#278)

Winner (so far): Bayz, obviously, but it's not that simple. This was a desperation play for Basile, who needed warm bodies more than he needed equal value. At the time of this deal, Ols was the only guy with an open DL slot. It made sense for both owners, and if Odor produces something closer to 2016 than 2017 then this will be a win for both owners. 

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Thu, Apr 19: Tim traded A.J. Minter, Atl RP to Ols for Sean Manaea, Oak SP

  • Ols - Minter: 2.0 IP, 2 K, 0 W, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 2.50 WHIP (NA) (Dropped)
  • Rim - Manaea: 0 GS, 0.0 IP, 0 K, 0 W, 0.00 ERA, 0.00 WHIP (#136) (Traded)
  • Rim - Acquired Minter the day after Ols dropped him for $8 FAAB

Winner (so far): Rim. I own all the players involved. Yeah I benched a no-hitter but fellas you should have seen my face when I won Minter on Thursday Great deal!

Rim